Don’t watch the number of cases — watch doubling of deaths rate
Number of days between doubling of deaths is the one stat to watch to see if we are flattening the curve.
None of those percentages matter right now. Focus on one thing: The doubling rate for the total deaths chart. This has nothing to do with testing, cases opened, etc. Only has to do with result. Note many days it takes for deaths to double, now about 3 days. pic.twitter.com/LV0p3Yo8Nd
— Eric Tilton (@ET_mjttech) March 21, 2020
Covid-19 Death Stats at OurWorldInData