Don’t watch the number of cases — watch doubling of deaths rate


Number of days between doubling of deaths is the one stat to watch to see if we are flattening the curve.

Covid-19 Death Stats at OurWorldInData

Coronavirus: Put Yourself in Lockdown (NOW) – The Atlantic


Coronavirus: Put Yourself in Lockdown – The Atlantic:

Social distancing has become the rallying cry of the coronavirus pandemic—a guideline from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention that has blown up into a social-media hashtag and even a line of Etsy attire. It’s an alluring prospect: Just cancel those plans with friends and stay six feet away from everyone, and we should be able to stave off a Contagion-style lockdown. But California, New York, and Illinois have now taken it a step further, compelling their residents to stay at home.

Some People.


Great.

Must read: The Doctor Who Helped Defeat Smallpox Explains What’s Coming


LARRY BRILLIANT SAYS he doesn’t have a crystal ball. But 14 years ago, Brilliant, the epidemiologist who helped eradicate smallpox, spoke to a TED audience and described what the next pandemic would look like. At the time, it sounded almost too horrible to take seriously. “A billion people would get sick,” he said. “As many as 165 million people would die. There would be a global recession and depression, and the cost to our economy of $1 to $3 trillion would be far worse for everyone than merely 100 million people dying, because so many more people would lose their jobs and their health care benefits, that the consequences are almost unthinkable.”

Wired – The Doctor Who Helped Defeat Smallpox Explains What’s Coming

Get Updates from The WHO via Whatsapp


When you text “hi” to +41 79 893 1892 over WhatsApp, you’ll receive back a text from the WHO that includes a variety of menu items for the latest information, like novel coronavirus infection rates around the world, travel advisories, and misinformation that should be debunked. Think of it like a hotline: Text 1 for the latest statistics, 4 for mythbusters, that type of thing. The WHO can also send out proactive alerts as needed to everyone who’s signed up.

Wired – WhatsApp Is at the Center of Coronavirus Response

The Plan


Wildly underestimated the damage


No way to win


How To File and What Qualifies for Unemployment in California During the Coronavirus Pandemic


Californians who may be missing work because of the novel coronavirus can now apply for benefits through the state’s EDD. Specific policies instituted as a result of the coronavirus can be seen here (also available in Spanish). The department is providing workers and caregivers various options to collect payment.

Sick or quarantined Californians who are unable to work as a result of the virus can file a disability insurance claim online.

If you’re unable to work because you’re taking care of a sick or quarantined relative with COVID-19, you can file a paid family leave claim, according to EDD.

Those who have had reduced hours or have lost their job due to their employer shutting down operations, can file an unemployment insurance claim.

via KQED

Shelter in Place Do’s and Don’ts


To help slow the spread of coronavirus, eight Bay Area counties have issued shelter-in-place orders that require people to stay at home and leave only for essential activities. The orders began going into effect at 12:01 a.m. on Tuesday, March 17, and cover the counties of Alameda, Contra Costa, Marin, San Francisco, San Mateo, Santa Clara, and Sonoma as well as the City of Berkeley. Napa County has announced orders that will go into effect on Friday. Santa Cruz and Lake counties are also requiring residents to shelter in their homes.

The orders are currently effective until April 7.

via KQED

The scariest thing I’ve ever read


This thread is very bleak. A report on the #ImperialCollege report on Covid-19 models.

I kinda think we are all expecting something like this. My guess is real life will fall short of full #suppression. We just won’t be able to do it. But we will come close.

Strap in everyone – time to get busy.

Diary of a Covid-19 Infected Doctor


I am an ER physician and I have COVID-19.

I have spoken with occupational health and the department of public health. I likely did not put anybody else at risk of contracting Coronavirus and probably didn’t get it at work. I have notified all close contacts. My symptoms are mild (headaches, muscle soreness, slight cough, low grade temperature) and all of them improve with Tylenol, Motrin and some Gatorade. I have plenty of toilet paper at home (I also have food, water, medications). My dad is calling me every 6 hours to check in. My brother and sister-in-law live ten blocks away and they are checking in on me. I am doing OK. Stay vigilant with hand washing and social distancing.

Love yourselves, believe in humility, civility and humanity.

https://medium.com/@rosnydaniel_95420/i-am-an-er-physician-and-i-have-covid-19-6299532c18a9