{"id":549,"date":"2020-08-22T09:33:54","date_gmt":"2020-08-22T16:33:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/notordinary.org\/?p=549"},"modified":"2020-08-22T09:33:54","modified_gmt":"2020-08-22T16:33:54","slug":"how-the-pandemic-might-play-out-in-2021-and-beyond","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/notordinary.org\/2020\/08\/22\/how-the-pandemic-might-play-out-in-2021-and-beyond\/","title":{"rendered":"How the pandemic might play out in 2021 and beyond"},"content":{"rendered":"<blockquote><p>June 2021. The world has been in pandemic mode for a year and a half. The virus continues to spread at a slow burn; intermittent lockdowns are the new normal. An approved vaccine offers six months of protection, but international deal-making has slowed its distribution. An estimated 250 million people have been infected worldwide, and 1.75 million are dead.<\/p>\n<p>Scenarios such as this one imagine how the COVID-19 pandemic might play out1. Around the world, epidemiologists are constructing short- and long-term projections as a way to prepare for, and potentially mitigate, the spread and impact of SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19. Although their forecasts and timelines vary, modellers agree on two things: COVID-19 is here to stay, and the future depends on a lot of unknowns, including whether people develop lasting immunity to the virus, whether seasonality affects its spread, and \u2014 perhaps most importantly \u2014 the choices made by governments and individuals. \u201cA lot of places are unlocking, and a lot of places aren\u2019t. We don\u2019t really yet know what\u2019s going to happen,\u201d says Rosalind Eggo, an infectious-disease modeller at the London School of Hygiene &#038; Tropical Medicine (LSHTM).<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Via: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/d41586-020-02278-5\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow external noopener noreferrer\" class=\"wpel-icon-left\"><i class=\"wpel-icon dashicons-before dashicons-admin-links\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/i>How the pandemic might play out in 2021 and beyond<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>June 2021. The world has been in pandemic mode for a year and a half. The virus continues to spread at a slow burn; intermittent lockdowns are the new normal. An approved vaccine offers six months of protection, but international deal-making has slowed its distribution. An estimated 250 million people have been infected worldwide, and &#8230; <a class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/notordinary.org\/2020\/08\/22\/how-the-pandemic-might-play-out-in-2021-and-beyond\/\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\">Read More<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/notordinary.org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/549"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/notordinary.org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/notordinary.org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/notordinary.org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/notordinary.org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=549"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/notordinary.org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/549\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/notordinary.org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=549"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/notordinary.org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=549"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/notordinary.org\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=549"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}